Demographic Influence on Public Infrastructure Investments in South-South Nigeria

References

[1] Abu-Tayeh, S.N. & Mustafa, M. H (2011). The Determinants of Public Expenditures in Jordan. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 2 (8), 45- 47.

[2] Akanbi, O. A. (2013) Does Governance Matter In Infrastructure: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa, International Business & Economics Research Journal, 12(1), 6-8

[3] Aregbeyen, O. O and Akpan, U.F (2013). Long-term Determinants of Government Expenditure: A Disaggregated Analysis for Nigeria. Journal of Studies in Social Sciences, Volume 5 (1),31-87.

[4] Bassetto, M., McGranahan L. (2011). On the Relationship Between Mobility, Population Growth, and Capital Spending in the United States. Working Paper 16970. Retrieved http://www.nber.org /papers/w16970.

[5] Bello-Schünemann, J. and Porter, A. (2017). Building the future Infrastructure in Nigeria until 2040. Institute for Security Studies. West Africa Report 21, 8.

[6] Busilac, A & Deluna, R. (2013). The Relationship between Population Dynamics and Investments for Energy and Telecommunication Infrastructures in the Philippines. Retrieved from https://mpra. ub. unimuenchen.de/51845/1/MPRA_paper_51845.pdf.

[7] Büttner, T., Schwager, R. & Stegarescu, D. (2001). Agglomeration, Population Size, and the Cost of Providing Public Services: An Empirical Analysis for German States. Discussion Paper No. 04-18, Center for Eoropean Economic Research.

[8] Edame, G.E. & Fonta, W.M. (2014). The Impact of Government Expenditure on Infrastructure in Nigeria: A Co-integration & Error Correction Specification. International Journal of African and Asian Studies - An Open Access International Journal, 3, 4-7.

[9] Eichler, J. P., Wegener, A., & Zimmermann, U. (2012). Financing Local Infrastructure – Linking Local Governments and Financial Markets. Bonn and Eschborn, Germany: Deutsche Gesellschaft für.

[10] Estache, A; Perrault, J; & Savard, L. (2012). The Impact of Infrastructure Spending in Sub-Saharan Africa: A CGE Modeling Approach. Economics research International, Volume 2012, https:// doi.org/ 10.1155 / 2012/875287

[11] Fisher, R.C & Wassmer, R.W. (2013). “Differences in State and Local Government Public Capital Expenditure Before, During, and After the Great Recession: Did the Federal Stimulus Matter?” Western Economic Association’s 88th Annual Conference, Seattle, WA, June 28-July 2, 2013.

[12] Francis, P., Lapin, D., & Rossiasco, P. (2011). Securing Development and Peace in the Niger Delta: A Social and Conflict Analysis for Change, Washinton DC: Woodrow Wilson International Centre for Scholars, 9.

[13] French, C. (2014). Why Demographic Data Matters. University of New Hampshire Cooperative Extension. Information Brief #1, November 2014. https:// extension. Unh.edu/ resources/ files/ Resource 004765 _Rep6784.pdf

[14] Gutman, J. & Sy, A. (2015). Financing African infrastructure: Can the world deliver?  Brookings Institution Reports. (Mar 2015). Retrieved from http://search.proquest. Com /docview/ 1787812497/ fulltextPDF/ 258E2D2D63CF4E3DPQ/12?accounti d=166860

[15] Heller,P. (2010). People and Places: Can They Align to Bring Growth to Africa? Center for Global Development Essay. Retrieved from https://www.cgdev. org/sites/ default /files/ 1424441_file_Heller_Demographics_Infrastructure_ FINAL. pdf.

[16] Hermawan, F., Rachmawati, T., and Wahyono, H. L. (2015). Does Demographic Pattern Matter for Sustainable Infrastructure Policy? The 5th International Conference of Euro Asia Civil Engineering Forum (EACEF-5), Procedia Engineering 125 ( 2015 ), 482-486.

[17] Hussain, T., Iqbal, A. & Siddiqi, M. (2010). Growth, Population, Exports and Wagner’s Law: A Case Study of Pakistan (1972-2007). World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology International Journal of Economics and Management Engineering 4 (3), 274.

[18] Institute for Peace and Conflict Resolution (2017). 2016 Strategic Conflict Assessment of Nigeria, Consolidated and Zonal Reports, Abuja, Nigeria, 342.

[19] Kandiero, T. (2009). “Infrastructure investment in Africa.” African Development Bank: Development Research Brief, 10, 11.

[20] Kim, B. (2006). Infrastructure Development for the Economic Development in Developing Countries: Lessons from Korea and Japan. GSICS Working Paper Series, 11, 14-19. November 2006.

[21] Kloppenborg, T. J., Tesch, D., & Chinta, R. R. (2010). Demographic Determinants of Project Success Behaviors. Paper presented at PMI® Research Conference: Defining the Future of Project Management, Washington, DC. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.

[22] LGNZ (2015). Local Government Funding Review. A Discussion Paper of National Council of Local Government New Zealand, 4. Retrieved from http://www.lgnz.co.nz/ assets/Uploads/Our-work/Local-Govern ment-Funding-Review.pdf.

[23] Lutz, W. & Samir, K. C. (2013). Demography and Human Development: Education and population Projections. New York: UNDP Human Development Report Office.

[24] National Infrastructure Commission (2017). The Impact of Population Change and Demography on Future Infrastructure Demand. Retrieved from https:// www. nic. org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2906064-NIC-Population-and-Demography-Document-v1_1w.pdf.

[25] Nugent, R. & Seligman, B. (2008). How Demographic Change Affects Development. Demographics and Development in the 21st Century Initiative Technical Background Paper. Center for Global Development, 1, 15

[26] Nurlis (2016). The Factors Affecting of the Capital Expenditure Allocation Case: The Local Government of Indonesia. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 7(1), 12.

[27] Measure Evaluation (2011). Lesson 2: Population Analysis and Planning. Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina. https://www. measureevaluation. Org/resources/training/online-courses-and-resources/non-certificate-courses-and-mini-tutorials/population-analysis-for-planners/lesson-2

[28] Olaseni, M. & Alade, W. (2012). Vision 20:2020 and the Challenges of Infrastructural Development in Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Development, 5 (2), 17-20.

[29] Omodero, C. O. (2020). Analysis of Factors Influencing Public Capital Investment in Nigeria. Journal of Educational and Social Research. 10 (1), 62-64.

[30] Owhor, S. C; Ojo,V. K; Nkpurukwe, O. I & Abdul,I.G. (2015). Public- Private Partnership (Ppp) As Catalyst for Sustainable Infrastructural Development (Effort of Rivers, Cross Rivers, Oyo and Lagos State Government). International Journal of Engineering Science Invention, 4 (2), 53-69.

[31] Peacock, A. T. & Wiseman, J. (1961). Determinants of Government Expenditure. In: Peacock, A. T. & Wiseman, J. (Eds.), The Growth of Public Expenditure in the United Kingdom (pp 12-34). Princeton: Princeton University Press.

[32] Shodhganga (2006). Positive Theory of Public Expenditure, Chapter 2. Retrieved from http://shodhganga. inflibnet. ac.in/bitstream/ 10603/149402/6/06_chapter_02. pdf.

[33] Sole’-Olle, A. & Bosch, N. (2005). On the Relationship between Local Authority Size and the costs of providing local services: Lessons for the Design of Intergovernmental transfers in Spain. Public Finance Review 33/3, 343-384.

[34] Sturm, J. (2001). Determinants of Public Capital Spending in Less-developed Countries. University of Groningen & CESifo Munich. http://www. rug. nl/research/ portal/files/ 3086743/200107. pdf.

[35] Stupak, J. M. (2018). Economic Impact of Infrastructure Investment. Congressional Research Service. https://fas.org/ sgp/ crs/ misc/R44896.pdf.

[36] Susetyo, D., Zunaidah; Rohima, S., Valeriani, D., & Bashir, A. (2018). Impact of Capital Expenditure and Public Utility Customers to Economic Development of District-City in Sumatra-Indonesia. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. 8(1), 126-129.

[37] Ugbomeh, B. A. & Atubi, A. O. (2010). “The Role of the Oil Industry and the Nigerian State in Defining the Future of the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria”, African Research Review: An International Multi-Disciplinary Journal, 4 (2), 103-112.

[38] Ukwueze, E. R. (2015). Determinants of the Size of Public Expenditure in Nigeria. https:// journals. sagepub. com/doi/10.1177/ 2158 244015621346

[39] United Nations (2017). Household Size and Composition Around the World. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division– Data Booklet (ST/ESA/ SER.A/ 405).

[40] Wako, H. A. (2012). Demographic changes and economic development: Application of the vector error correction model (VECM) to the case of Ethiopia. Journal of Economics and International Finance V 4(10), 236-251

[41] Wendorf, J. (2005). Capital Budgeting from a Local Government Perspective, SPNA review, 1 (1: 6), 73, 75.

[42] Wilkins, K. and Zurawski, A. (2014). Infrastructure Investment in China. Bulletin, June Quarter, 2014. http://citeseerx.ist. psu.edu/ viewdoc/ download?doi=10.1.1.431.2911& rep=rep1&type=pdf.

@article{1702383,
      author = {Beals, Sampson Alele},
      title = {Demographic Influence on Public Infrastructure Investments in South-South Nigeria },
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2020},
      volume = {3},
      number = {12},
      pages = {211-225},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1702383.pdf},
      abstract = {The influence of demographic factors on public infrastructure investments in South-South Nigeria was empirically assessed in this study with the primary purpose of ascertaining the extent of consideration of demographic factors in budgetary planning. The specific study variables are government capital expenditure, as dependent, and demographic factors (per capita government revenue, population density, population, and number of households), as independent variables. Secondary data were collected from annual budgets of governments, the population commission and Bureau of Statistics of Nigeria, Publications of the Central Bank of Nigeria, and few research articles containing relevant public records. The 6 states of the South-South region of Nigeria are taken as the population of the study which covers a period of 11 years (2007-2017). The data were analysed employing multiple regression statistical method. The study reveals at 5 % level of significance, that no significant relationship exists between aggregate capital expenditure and demographic factors in South-South states budgetary planning. On individual demographic influence on capital expenditure, number of households and population were found to have negative relationship, while per capita revenue and population density are positive though the relationships are not significant. Thus the study concludes that none of the demographic variables is significantly related to capital expenditure. In other words, the governments of south-south Nigeria as an entity do not consider any of the demographic variables in their capital investment planning. It is recommended inter-alia that the governments of south-south Nigeria should in policy   formulation, planning, and funding, give reasonable attention to demographic considerations in their infrastructural development drives. This can be achieved by always keeping an update of demographic statistics which as a matter of policy should be considered by estimators and budget formulators of public capital projects in the event of any infrastructure development planning.},
      keywords = {Capital investment, Demographic factors, Public infrastructure, South-South Nigeria},
      month = {June},
  }