Home / Current Issue / Paper 1702592
A Product Backorder Predictive Model Using Recurrent Neural Network
Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology · Area of research: Deep Learning
Abstract
Increasing demand of products is a common cause of out of product inventory, and the adoption of backordering to satisfy outstanding customer orders after its occurrence cannot be undermined. However, wrong management of backorders incurs several issues such as delay in product delivery, low customer satisfaction, and many more. Therefore, it is necessary to ascertain products with high tendencies of shortage beforehand in order to undertake proactive measures and potentially mitigate both tangible and intangible costs. Hence, this paper proposes a backorder predictive model using recurrent neural network (RNN) on large and imbalanced inventory dataset. The data was preprocessed using Min-Max Scaler, while three data balancing methods (ADASYN, SMOTE, and Random Under Sampling)were applied on the imbalanced data simultaneously and their output were fed into RNNto predict whichitem goes on backorder . The evaluation of the result obtained showed ADASYN+ RNN had performed better with 0.901 precision, 0.879 recall, and 0.889 F1-Score. The proposed model when compared with other machine learning algorithms shows significant impact on prediction of product backorder.
References
[1] Oluwaseyi, J. A., Onifade, M. K., and Odeyinka, O. F. (2017). Evaluation of the Role of Inventory Management in Logistics Chain of an Organisation. LOGI – Scientific Journal on Transport and Logistics, 8(2), 1–11
[2] De Santis, R. B., de Aguiar, E. P., and Goliatt, L. (2017). Predicting material backorders in inventory management using machine learning. IEEE Latin American Conference on Computational Intelligence (LA-CCI).1-6
[3] Zhang, R. Q., Wu, Y. L., Fang, W. G., and Zhou, W. H. (2016). Inventory Model with Partial Backordering When Backordered Customers Delay Purchase after Stockout-Restoration. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, pp. 1–16.
[4] Hajek, P., and Abedin, M. Z. (2020). A Profit Function-Maximizing Inventory Backorder Prediction System using Big Data Analytics. IEEE Access, 1–1.
[5] Islam, S., and Amin, S. H. (2020). Prediction of probable backorder scenarios in the supply chain using Distributed Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Machine learning techniques. Journal of Big Data, 7(1).
[6] Anigbogu S. O., Oladipo O.F and Karim U. (2011), An Intelligent Model for Sales and Inventory Management. Indian Journal of Computer Science and Engineering (IJCSE). 2(5):785-791
[7] Guanghui W., (2012). Demand Forecasting of Supply Chain Based on Support Vector Regression Method. International Workshop on Information and Electronics Engineering (IWIEE). Vol 29. Pp. 280-284
[8] Boniface, E., Nwokoye, C. H., Chukwuemeka, A. J. (2013). Automated Inventory Control System for Nigeria Power Holding Company. Department of Computer Science, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Anambra State, Nigeria. 8(1): 50-60
[9] Tereza Šustrová (2016). A Suitable Artificial Intelligence Model for Inventory Level Optimization. Trendy Ekonomiky a Managementu Trends Economics and Management. 25(1):48-55
[10] Madamidola, O. A., Daramola, O.A., Akintola, K .G. (2017). Web – Based Intelligent Inventory Management System. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development, Volume 1(4), 2456-6470
[11] Inprasit, T., and Tanachutiwat, S. (2018). Reordering Point Determination Using Machine Learning Technique for Inventory Management. International Conference on Engineering, Applied Sciences, and Technology (ICEAST). Pp. 1- 4.
[12] Amin, A., Anwar, S., Adnan, A., Nawaz, M., Howard, N., Qadir, J., and Hussain, A. (2016). Comparing Oversampling Techniques to Handle the Class Imbalance Problem: A Customer Churn Prediction Case Study. IEEE Access, 4, 7940–7957.
[13] Haibo He, Yang Bai, Garcia, E. A., and Shutao Li. (2008). ADASYN: Adaptive synthetic sampling approach for imbalanced learning. 2008 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence). Pp. 1322-1328
[14] Chopra, C., Sinha, S., Jaroli, S., Shukla, A., and Maheshwari, S. (2017). Recurrent Neural Networks with Non-Sequential Data to Predict Hospital Readmission of Diabetic Patients. Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference on Computational Biology and Bioinformatics - ICCBB.
[15] Hughes, T. W., Williamson, I. A. D., Minkov, M., and Fan, S. (2019). Wave physics as an analog recurrent neural network. Science Advances, 5(12)
How to cite this paper
@article{1702592,
author = {Akintola K.G, Lawal S.O},
title = {A Product Backorder Predictive Model Using Recurrent Neural Network},
journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
year = {2021},
volume = {4},
number = {8},
pages = {49-57},
issn = {2456-8880},
url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/17025921.pdf},
abstract = {Increasing demand of products is a common cause of out of product inventory, and the adoption of backordering to satisfy outstanding customer orders after its occurrence cannot be undermined. However, wrong management of backorders incurs several issues such as delay in product delivery, low customer satisfaction, and many more. Therefore, it is necessary to ascertain products with high tendencies of shortage beforehand in order to undertake proactive measures and potentially mitigate both tangible and intangible costs. Hence, this paper proposes a backorder predictive model using recurrent neural network (RNN) on large and imbalanced inventory dataset. The data was preprocessed using Min-Max Scaler, while three data balancing methods (ADASYN, SMOTE, and Random Under Sampling)were applied on the imbalanced data simultaneously and their output were fed into RNNto predict whichitem goes on backorder . The evaluation of the result obtained showed ADASYN+ RNN had performed better with 0.901 precision, 0.879 recall, and 0.889 F1-Score. The proposed model when compared with other machine learning algorithms shows significant impact on prediction of product backorder.},
month = {February},
}