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Sea Surface Temperature Prediction by Using EDA and Exponential Smoothening Algorithm

Amit Kumar Pandey Dr. Santosh Singh Nishant Varma

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

This study proposes an integrated approach for sea surface temperature (SST) prediction, combining Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) and Exponential Smoothing techniques. The primary objective is to develop a robust predictive model that enhances our ability to monitor and forecast SST dynamics for climate-related applications. The EDA phase involves a comprehensive exploration of historical SST datasets, utilizing descriptive statistics and visualization tools to uncover spatial and temporal patterns. This initial analysis serves as the foundation for subsequent modeling. The study employs Exponential Smoothing, a sophisticated time series forecasting method, to capture and project underlying patterns in SST data. This model considers both short-term and long-term trends, facilitating accurate predictions of future SST values with reduced noise. Calibration and validation are conducted using historical SST data, and the model's performance is compared to traditional forecasting methods. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of the combined EDA and Exponential Smoothing approach in predicting sea surface temperatures. The model exhibits strong predictive capabilities, offering valuable insights for researchers, climatologists, and policymakers to anticipate and respond to changes in oceanic conditions. This research contributes to advancing climate science by emphasizing the importance of integrating exploratory data analysis and advanced forecasting techniques for improved understanding and prediction of sea surface temperatures.

Keywords

Sea Surface Temperature, Exploratory Data Analysis, Exponential Smoothing, Climate Monitoring, Predictive Modeling, Oceanic Conditions

References

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[3] Moron V, Vautard R, Ghil M. Trends, interdecadal and interannual oscillations in global sea-surface temperatures. Climate Dynamics. 1998 Jun; 14:545-69.

[4] Dommenget D. An objective analysis of the observed spatial structure of the tropical Indian Ocean SST variability. Climate dynamics. 2011 Jun; 36:2129-45.

[5] Bosserelle C, Pattiaratchi C, Haigh I. Inter-annual variability and longer-term changes in the wave climate of Western Australia between 1970 and 2009. Ocean Dynamics. 2012 Jan; 62:63-76.

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How to cite this paper

Amit Kumar Pandey, Dr. Santosh Singh, Nishant Varma "Sea Surface Temperature Prediction by Using EDA and Exponential Smoothening Algorithm" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 7 Issue 6 2023 Page 159-163
Amit Kumar Pandey, Dr. Santosh Singh, Nishant Varma "Sea Surface Temperature Prediction by Using EDA and Exponential Smoothening Algorithm" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 7, no. 6, Dec. 2023
Amit Kumar Pandey, Dr. Santosh Singh, Nishant Varma (2023). Sea Surface Temperature Prediction by Using EDA and Exponential Smoothening Algorithm. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 7(6).
Amit Kumar Pandey, Dr. Santosh Singh, Nishant Varma "Sea Surface Temperature Prediction by Using EDA and Exponential Smoothening Algorithm" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 7, no. 6, Dec. 2023.
@article{1705276,
      author = {Amit Kumar Pandey, Dr. Santosh Singh, Nishant Varma},
      title = {Sea Surface Temperature Prediction by Using EDA and Exponential Smoothening Algorithm},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2023},
      volume = {7},
      number = {6},
      pages = {159-163},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1705276.pdf},
      abstract = {This study proposes an integrated approach for sea surface temperature (SST) prediction, combining Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) and Exponential Smoothing techniques. The primary objective is to develop a robust predictive model that enhances our ability to monitor and forecast SST dynamics for climate-related applications. The EDA phase involves a comprehensive exploration of historical SST datasets, utilizing descriptive statistics and visualization tools to uncover spatial and temporal patterns. This initial analysis serves as the foundation for subsequent modeling. The study employs Exponential Smoothing, a sophisticated time series forecasting method, to capture and project underlying patterns in SST data. This model considers both short-term and long-term trends, facilitating accurate predictions of future SST values with reduced noise. Calibration and validation are conducted using historical SST data, and the model's performance is compared to traditional forecasting methods. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of the combined EDA and Exponential Smoothing approach in predicting sea surface temperatures. The model exhibits strong predictive capabilities, offering valuable insights for researchers, climatologists, and policymakers to anticipate and respond to changes in oceanic conditions. This research contributes to advancing climate science by emphasizing the importance of integrating exploratory data analysis and advanced forecasting techniques for improved understanding and prediction of sea surface temperatures.},
      keywords = {Sea Surface Temperature, Exploratory Data Analysis, Exponential Smoothing, Climate Monitoring, Predictive Modeling, Oceanic Conditions},
      month = {December},
  }