International Peer-Reviewed Journal•Open Access•ISSN 2456-8880
irejournals@gmail.com•+91-7433024337

Home / Current Issue / Paper 1705479

1705479 Vol 7 · Issue 8 Download Paper

Climatic Temperature Trends: Analyzing Past Data and Predicting Future Temperature

Rishika Rao Harsh Panchal Dr. S. K. Singh

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Information Technology

Abstract

Machine Learning (ML) techniques for time series prediction are becoming increasingly accurate and helpful, particularly in considering climate change, such as weather forecasting, climate research, and environmental planning, accurate temperature prediction is essential. This work utilizes a 40-year historical dataset and three machine learning algorithms, Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF) and Polynomial Regression to give a thorough method to temperature prediction. To increase the accuracy of temperature forecasts, it is important to examine how well various algorithms work on a large dataset. A large historical dataset covering four decades is first gathered and pre-processed for the study. This dataset includes temperature records as well as data on a wide range of meteorological factors, including humidity, wind speed, and precipitation. The dataset is optimized for modeling using feature selection and engineering methods. The first step in predicting temperature is to use linear regression, polynomial Regression - Single modeling approach and use random forest algorithm ? Ensemble modeling and for the same and then compare these algorithms. The data has been collected via NASA climate datasets. It consists of 40 years data from 1980 to 2020 in month wise format.

Keywords

Machine learning, Temperature prediction, Ensemble Models, Single Models.

References

[1] Azari B, Hassan K, Pierce J, Ebrahimi S. Evaluation of machine learning methods application in temperature prediction. Environ Eng. 2022;8:1-2.

[2] Radhika Y, Shashi M. Atmospheric temperature prediction using support vector machines. International journal of computer theory and engineering. 2009 Apr 1;1(1):55.

[3] Smith BA, McClendon RW, Hoogenboom G. Improving air temperature prediction with artificial neural networks. International Journal of Computational Intelligence. 2006;3(3):179-86.

[4] Salcedo-Sanz S, Deo RC, Carro-Calvo L, Saavedra-Moreno B. Monthly prediction of air temperature in Australia and New Zealand with machine learning algorithms. Theoretical and applied climatology. 2016 Jul;125:13-25.

[5] Nury AH, Hasan K, Alam MJ. Comparative study of wavelet-ARIMA and wavelet-ANN models for temperature time series data in northeastern Bangladesh. Journal of King Saud University-Science. 2017 Jan 1;29(1):47-61.

[6] Shikoun N, El-Bolok H, Ismail MA. Climate change prediction using data mining. International Journal of Intelligent and Cooperative Information Systems. 2005;5(1):365-79.

[7] Steinbach M, Tan PN, Kumar V, Potter C, Klooster S, Torregrosa A. Data mining for the discovery of ocean climate indices. InProc of the Fifth Workshop on Scientific Data Mining 2002 Apr.

[8] Mansfield LA, Nowack PJ, Kasoar M, Everitt RG, Collins WJ, Voulgarakis A. Predicting global patterns of long-term climate change from short-term simulations using machine learning. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2020 Nov 19;3(1):44.

[9] Anjali T, Chandini K, Anoop K, Lajish VL. Temperature prediction using machine learning approaches. In2019 2nd International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Instrumentation and Control Technologies (ICICICT) 2019 Jul 5 (Vol. 1, pp. 1264-1268). IEEE.

[10] Tyagi H, Suran S, Pattanaik V. Weather- temperature pattern prediction and anomaly identification using artificial neural network.

[11] International Journal of Computer applications 2016 Apr:975:8887.

[12] Evaluation Abhishek K, Singh MP, Ghosh S, Anand A. Weather forecasting model using artificial neural network. Procedia Technology. 2012 Jan 1:4:311-8.

[13] Buszta A, Mazurkiewicz J. Climate changes prediction system based on weather big data visualization, International Conference on Dependability and Complex Systems 2015 jun 29 (pp.75-86). Cham: Springer International Publishing.

[14] Doblas-Reyes FJ, Garcia-Serrano J, Lienert F,Biescas AP, Rodrigues LR. Seasonal climate Predictability and forecasting: status and prospects. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change. 2013 Jul;4(4):245-68.

[15] Fister D, Pérez Aracil J, Peláez-Rodríguez C, Del Ser J, Salcedo-Sanz S. Accurate long-term air temperature prediction with Machine Learning models and data reduction techniques. Applied Soft Computing. 2023 Mar 1;136:110118.

[16] Ustaoglu B, Cigizoglu HK, Karaca M. Forecast of daily mean, maximum and minimum temperature time series by three artificial neural network methods. Meteorological Applications: A journal of forecasting, practical applications, training techniques and modelling. 2008 Dec;15(4):431-45.

How to cite this paper

Rishika Rao, Harsh Panchal, Dr. S. K. Singh "Climatic Temperature Trends: Analyzing Past Data and Predicting Future Temperature" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 7 Issue 8 2024 Page 166-170
Rishika Rao, Harsh Panchal, Dr. S. K. Singh "Climatic Temperature Trends: Analyzing Past Data and Predicting Future Temperature" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 7, no. 8, Feb. 2024
Rishika Rao, Harsh Panchal, Dr. S. K. Singh (2024). Climatic Temperature Trends: Analyzing Past Data and Predicting Future Temperature. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 7(8).
Rishika Rao, Harsh Panchal, Dr. S. K. Singh "Climatic Temperature Trends: Analyzing Past Data and Predicting Future Temperature" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 7, no. 8, Feb. 2024.
@article{1705479,
      author = {Rishika Rao, Harsh Panchal, Dr. S. K. Singh},
      title = {Climatic Temperature Trends: Analyzing Past Data and Predicting Future Temperature},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2024},
      volume = {7},
      number = {8},
      pages = {166-170},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1705479.pdf},
      abstract = {Machine Learning (ML) techniques for time series prediction are becoming increasingly accurate and helpful, particularly in considering climate change, such as weather forecasting, climate research, and environmental planning, accurate temperature prediction is essential. This work utilizes a 40-year historical dataset and three machine learning algorithms, Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF) and Polynomial Regression to give a thorough method to temperature prediction. To increase the accuracy of temperature forecasts, it is important to examine how well various algorithms work on a large dataset. A large historical dataset covering four decades is first gathered and pre-processed for the study. This dataset includes temperature records as well as data on a wide range of meteorological factors, including humidity, wind speed, and precipitation. The dataset is optimized for modeling using feature selection and engineering methods. The first step in predicting temperature is to use linear regression, polynomial Regression - Single modeling approach and use random forest algorithm ? Ensemble modeling and for the same and then compare these algorithms. The data has been collected via NASA climate datasets. It consists of 40 years data from 1980 to 2020 in month wise format.},
      keywords = {Machine learning, Temperature prediction, Ensemble Models, Single Models.},
      month = {February},
  }