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Assessments of Diverse Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security
Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology · Area of research: Agricultural and Environmental Engineering
Abstract
Agriculture production is dependent on climatic and weather conditions but now-days increasing in temperature, precipitation, and CO2 concentration directly affects crop production. This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effects of global warming on Nigerian agriculture, food security, and estimation of the determinants of adaptation to climate change. Data used for this study are from both secondary and primary sources. The set of secondary sources of data helped to examine the coverage of the three scenarios (1971-1980; 1981-1990 and 1991-2000). The primary data set consists of 900 respondents? but only 850 cases were useful. This study analyzed determinants of farm-level climate adaptation measures using a Multinomial choice and stochastic-simulation model to investigate the effects of rapid climatic change on grain production and the human population in Nigeria. The model calculates the production, consumption, and storage of grains under different climate scenarios over a 10-year scenery. In most scenarios, either an optimistic baseline annual increase of agricultural output of 1.85% or a more pessimistic appraisal of 0.75% was used. The rate of natural increase of the human population exclusive of excess hunger-related deaths was set at 1.65% per year. Results indicated that hunger-related deaths could increase if grain productions do not keep pace with population growth in an unfavorable climatic environment.
Keywords
Assessment, Diverse, Climate, Change, Impact, Agriculture, Food, Security
How to cite this paper
@article{1706155,
author = {Tom, C. N., Edet, J. A., Umunna, M. F., Erokare, T. E., Igbozulike, A. O.; Udenze, N. F},
title = {Assessments of Diverse Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security},
journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
year = {2024},
volume = {8},
number = {2},
pages = {372-383},
issn = {2456-8880},
url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1706155.pdf},
abstract = {Agriculture production is dependent on climatic and weather conditions but now-days increasing in temperature, precipitation, and CO2 concentration directly affects crop production. This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effects of global warming on Nigerian agriculture, food security, and estimation of the determinants of adaptation to climate change. Data used for this study are from both secondary and primary sources. The set of secondary sources of data helped to examine the coverage of the three scenarios (1971-1980; 1981-1990 and 1991-2000). The primary data set consists of 900 respondents? but only 850 cases were useful. This study analyzed determinants of farm-level climate adaptation measures using a Multinomial choice and stochastic-simulation model to investigate the effects of rapid climatic change on grain production and the human population in Nigeria. The model calculates the production, consumption, and storage of grains under different climate scenarios over a 10-year scenery. In most scenarios, either an optimistic baseline annual increase of agricultural output of 1.85% or a more pessimistic appraisal of 0.75% was used. The rate of natural increase of the human population exclusive of excess hunger-related deaths was set at 1.65% per year. Results indicated that hunger-related deaths could increase if grain productions do not keep pace with population growth in an unfavorable climatic environment.},
keywords = {Assessment, Diverse, Climate, Change, Impact, Agriculture, Food, Security},
month = {August},
}