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An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk
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1708822 Vol 8 · Issue 11 Download Paper

An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk

Kavitha D D Ruqhaiya Asif Sarisha N Sneha K C Soundarya Rajan

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Machine Learning

Abstract

Thoracic diseases, including both pulmonary and cardiac conditions, are some of the principal reasons for global mortality. Accurate and early risk assessment is essential to the proper diagnosis and management of the condition. This project presents an ensemble learning-based approach for thoracic disease risk prediction using two publicly available Kaggle datasets: one comprising chest X-ray images labeled with multiple lung conditions, and the other including organised clinical information for diagnosis of heart disease. The chest X-ray dataset includes critical conditions like Pneumonia, Pneumothorax, and Cardiomegaly, identified through radiographic features, while the heart disease datasets involves such as age, blood pressure, cholesterol, EKG. Data Preprocessing standard scaling and one-hot encoding. Deep neural network models among other ones and Random Forest classifiers were implemented. The system attained a general level of accuracy of 82.17%, validating the strength of ensemble techniques. This dual-modality approach enhances prediction accuracy and promises to fit into intelligent diagnostic systems.

Keywords

Ensemble Learning, Thoracic Disease, Heart Disease Prediction, Chest X-ray Classification, Deep Neural Network, Random Forest, Machine Learning, Clinical Data, Medical Imaging, Risk Assessment

References

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[2] Kishikawa, R., Kodera, S., Setoguchi, N., Tanabe, K., Kushida, S., Nanasato, M., Maki, H., Fujita, H., Kato, N., Watanabe, H., Takahashi, M., Sawada, N., Ando, J., Sato, M., Sawano, S., Shinohara, H., Nakanishi, K., Minatsuki, S., Ishida, J., . . . Takeda, N. (2024). An ensemble learning model for detection of pulmonary hypertension using electrocardiogram, chest X-ray, and brain natriuretic peptide. European Heart Journal - Digital Health, 6(2), 209–217. https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztae097

[3] Liu, Z., Zuo, B., Lin, J., Sun, Z., Hu, H., Yin, Y., & Yang, S. (2025). Breaking new ground: machine learning enhances survival forecasts in hypercapnic respiratory failure. Frontiers in Medicine, 12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2025.1497651

[4] Taloba, A. I., & Matoog, R. (2024). Detecting respiratory diseases using machine learning-based pattern recognition on spirometry data. Alexandria Engineering Journal, 113, 44–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2024.11.009

[5] Bhowmik, R. T., & Most, S. P. (2022). A personalized respiratory disease exacerbation prediction technique based on a novel Spatio-Temporal Machine Learning architecture and local environmental sensor networks. Electronics, 11(16), 2562. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics11162562

[6] Mahajan, P., Uddin, S., Hajati, F., & Moni, M. A. (2023). Ensemble Learning for Disease Prediction: A review. Healthcare, 11(12), 1808. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare11121808

[7] Yang, X., Li, Y., Liu, L., & Zang, Z. (2025). Prediction of respiratory diseases based on random forest model. Frontiers in Public Health, 13. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1537238

[8] Lee, P., Lin, M., Liao, H., Lin, C., & Liao, P. (2024). Applying machine learning to construct an association model for lung cancer and environmental hormone high risk factors and nursing assessment reconstruction. Journal of Nursing Scholarship. https://doi.org/10.1111/jnu.12997

[9] Xi, H., Kang, Q., & Jiang, X. (2025). Machine learning-based risk assessment for cardiovascular diseases in patients with chronic lung diseases. Medicine, 104(10), e41672. https://doi.org/10.1097/md.0000000000041672

[10] D, P., SP, S., L, P., Gottumukkala, V. R., R, J., & M, S. (2025). Predictive modeling of lung cancer disease outcomes using ensemble learning. Informing Science the International Journal of an Emerging Transdiscipline, 28, 004. https://doi.org/10.28945/5448

[11] Susilo, Y. K. B., & Rahman, S. A. (2025). Revolutionizing COPD and Asthma Management with Artificial Intelligence. medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory). https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.03.18.25324219

[12] Chen, S., & Wu, S. (2025). Ensemble machine learning models for lung cancer incidence risk prediction in the elderly: a retrospective longitudinal study. BMC Cancer, 25(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-025-13562-w

[13] Atzeni, M., Cappon, G., Quint, J. K., Kelly, F., Barratt, B., & Vettoretti, M. (2025). A machine learning framework for short-term prediction of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations using personal air quality monitors and lifestyle data. Scientific Reports, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-85089-2

[14] Shi, S., Lin, H., Jiang, L., Zeng, Z., Lin, C., Li, P., Li, Y., & Yang, Z. (2025). Development of a respiratory virus risk model with environmental data based on interpretable machine learning methods. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-00894-4

[15] Yang, S., Lim, S., Hong, J., Park, J. S., Kim, J., & Kim, H. W. (2025). Deep learning-based lung cancer risk assessment using chest computed tomography images without pulmonary nodules e"8 mm. Translational Lung Cancer Research, 14(1), 150 162. https://doi.org/10.21037/tlcr-24-882

[16] Chakravarty, A., Sarkar, T., Ghosh, N., Sethuraman, R., & Sheet, D. (2020, April 24). Learning Decision Ensemble using a Graph Neural Network for Comorbidity Aware Chest Radiograph Screening. https://export.arxiv.org/abs/2004.11721

[17] Kishikawa, R., Kodera, S., Setoguchi, N., Tanabe, K., Kushida, S., Nanasato, M., Maki, H., Fujita, H., Kato, N., Watanabe, H., Takahashi, M., Sawada, N., Ando, J., Sato, M., Sawano, S., Shinohara, H., Nakanishi, K., Minatsuki, S., Ishida, J., . . . Takeda, N. (2024). An ensemble learning model for detection of pulmonary hypertension using electrocardiogram, chest X-ray, and brain natriuretic peptide. European Heart Journal - Digital Health, 6(2), 209–217. https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztae097

[18] Liu, Z., Zuo, B., Lin, J., Sun, Z., Hu, H., Yin, Y., & Yang, S. (2025). Breaking new ground: machine learning enhances survival forecasts in hypercapnic respiratory failure. Frontiers in Medicine, 12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2025.1497651

[19] Taloba, A. I., & Matoog, R. (2024). Detecting respiratory diseases using machine learning-based pattern recognition on spirometry data. Alexandria Engineering Journal, 113, 44–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2024.11.009

[20] Bhowmik, R. T., & Most, S. P. (2022). A personalized respiratory disease exacerbation prediction technique based on a novel Spatio-Temporal Machine Learning architecture and local environmental sensor networks. Electronics, 11(16), 2562. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics11162562

[21] Mahajan, P., Uddin, S., Hajati, F., & Moni, M. A. (2023). Ensemble Learning for Disease Prediction: A review. Healthcare, 11(12), 1808. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare11121808

[22] Yang, X., Li, Y., Liu, L., & Zang, Z. (2025). Prediction of respiratory diseases based on random forest model. Frontiers in Public Health, 13. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1537238

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How to cite this paper

Kavitha D D, Ruqhaiya Asif , Sarisha N, Sneha K C, Soundarya Rajan "An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 8 Issue 11 2025 Page 2065-2072
Kavitha D D, Ruqhaiya Asif , Sarisha N, Sneha K C, Soundarya Rajan "An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 8, no. 11, May. 2025
Kavitha D D, Ruqhaiya Asif , Sarisha N, Sneha K C, Soundarya Rajan (2025). An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 8(11).
Kavitha D D, Ruqhaiya Asif , Sarisha N, Sneha K C, Soundarya Rajan "An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 8, no. 11, May. 2025.
@article{1708822,
      author = {Kavitha D D, Ruqhaiya Asif , Sarisha N, Sneha K C, Soundarya Rajan},
      title = {An Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Thoracic Disease Risk},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2025},
      volume = {8},
      number = {11},
      pages = {2065-2072},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1708822.pdf},
      abstract = {Thoracic diseases, including both pulmonary and cardiac conditions, are some of the principal reasons for global mortality. Accurate and early risk assessment is essential to the proper diagnosis and management of the condition. This project presents an ensemble learning-based approach for thoracic disease risk prediction using two publicly available Kaggle datasets: one comprising chest X-ray images labeled with multiple lung conditions, and the other including organised clinical information for diagnosis of heart disease. The chest X-ray dataset includes critical conditions like Pneumonia, Pneumothorax, and Cardiomegaly, identified through radiographic features, while the heart disease datasets involves such as age, blood pressure, cholesterol, EKG. Data Preprocessing standard scaling and one-hot encoding. Deep neural network models among other ones and Random Forest classifiers were implemented. The system attained a general level of accuracy of 82.17%, validating the strength of ensemble techniques. This dual-modality approach enhances prediction accuracy and promises to fit into intelligent diagnostic systems.},
      keywords = {Ensemble Learning, Thoracic Disease, Heart Disease Prediction, Chest X-ray Classification, Deep Neural Network, Random Forest, Machine Learning, Clinical Data, Medical Imaging, Risk Assessment},
      month = {May},
  }