Current Volume 9
The rapid growth of urban areas and the intensification of land markets have become significant factors driving the transformation of cultural landscapes in historic city centers across Africa. This research examines the spatial-econometric relationship between land market activities and the erosion of cultural landscapes on Lagos Island, Lagos, Nigeria, which is one of the most historically important yet economically challenged urban settings in West Africa. Utilizing a spatial-quantitative research methodology that incorporates Geographic Information Systems (GIS), hedonic pricing models, Land Price Index (LPI) calculations, Property Appreciation Rate (PAR) assessments, and spatial regression techniques, the study evaluated 780 systematically selected properties within four heritage-rich zones: Marina/Broad Street, Campos Square/Olowogbowo, Isale Eko, and Ebute Ero, over a 25-year timeframe (2000-2025). The results indicate that land values surged eightfold, increasing from a base index of 100 in 2000 to 800 by 2025, with Zone A (Marina/Broad Street) experiencing the highest property appreciation at 740%. GIS-based change detection revealed extensive conversion of traditional residential land uses into commercial purposes, while spatial regression analysis confirmed that land market factors: LPI, PAR, and changes in land use, are statistically significant predictors of cultural landscape erosion (R² = 0.78, p < 0.01). The spatial autocorrelation analysis (Moran's I ≈ 0.71) indicated a strong clustering of erosion patterns emanating from commercial centers. This study illustrates that cultural landscapes in rapidly urbanizing cities face not only the threat of neglect but are also being actively reshaped by economic forces inherent in urban land markets. It offers an interdisciplinary spatial-econometric framework for assessing heritage vulnerability and advocates for heritage-sensitive land valuation, GIS-based monitoring, and proactive planning measures within the land administration system of Lagos Island.
Cultural Landscape Erosion, Land Market Dynamics, Spatial Econometrics, Hedonic Pricing, GIS, Lagos Island, Urban Heritage, Gentrification, Rent Gap, Property Appreciation
IRE Journals:
Onyelukachi Nneoma IKE-AKUDE, Raphael Oshiobugie SADO, Prof. Osa D. EGONWA "Land Market Intensification and Cultural Landscape Erosion in Lagos Island: A Spatial-Econometric Analysis" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 9 Issue 11 2026 Page 4897-4905 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1718499
IEEE:
Onyelukachi Nneoma IKE-AKUDE, Raphael Oshiobugie SADO, Prof. Osa D. EGONWA
"Land Market Intensification and Cultural Landscape Erosion in Lagos Island: A Spatial-Econometric Analysis" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 9(11) https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1718499