International Peer-Reviewed Journal•Open Access•ISSN 2456-8880
irejournals@gmail.com•+91-7433024337

Home / Current Issue / Paper 1719122

1719122 Vol 9 · Issue 12 Download Paper

Assessing the Impact of GST 2.0 on the Dairy Sector and Women’s Empowerment in Karnataka: A Secondary Data Analysis

Husen Bhasha Dr. Panduranga R

Subject area: Arts, Social Sciences and Humanities  ·  Area of research: Dairy Farming, Economics, Agriculture Economics

DOI: 10.64388/IREV9I12-1719122

Abstract

The 56th GST Council of India, in its landmark September 2025 meeting, approved sweeping tax rationalisations collectively referred to as GST 2.0, bringing most dairy products under a nil or 5% rate structure. This study critically evaluates the structural and gender-specific impact of this reform on Karnataka’s dairy sector through secondary data analysis. Karnataka, which recorded India’s highest milk production growth rate of 8.76% in 2022-23 and hosts 4,734 Women’s Dairy Cooperative Societies (DCS) under the Karnataka Milk Federation (KMF), represents a uniquely significant context for this inquiry. Secondary data are synthesised from KMF Annual Reports, the Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying and Fisheries (DAHD), NABARD field surveys, the National Statistical Office’s Household Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES 2022–23), and related governmental sources covering the period 2017-18 to 2024-25. Quantitative analyses encompassing Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) computation, bivariate OLS regression, and Pearson product-moment correlation are applied to examine linkages between Women’s DCS growth, income trajectories, financial inclusion, and cooperative governance indicators. Results reveal that GST 2.0 is projected to generate cumulative household savings of ₹17,800 per annum. Secondary panel regressions confirm a highly significant positive relationship between Women’s DCS count and average annual income (R² = 0.989) and between income and the Financial Inclusion Index (R² = 0.994). Pearson correlations across all cooperative performance and empowerment indicators are uniformly high (r = 0.990–0.999, p < 0.01), confirming a coherent, mutually reinforcing system of dairy development and women’s economic agency in Karnataka.

Keywords

GST 2.0, Dairy Sector Karnataka, Women’s Empowerment, Karnataka Milk Federation (KMF), Tax Rationalisation, Dairy Cooperatives, Women’s DCS, Financial Inclusion, Ksheera Sanjeevini, CAGR Analysis

References

[1] Bamberger, M., Rugh, J., & Mabry, L. (2012). RealWorld evaluation: Working under budget, time, data, and political constraints (2nd ed.). SAGE Publications.

[2] Basic Animal Husbandry Statistics. (2023). Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying & Fisheries, Government of India. https://dahd.nic.in

[3] Central Board of Indirect Taxes & Customs [CBIC]. (2025). Notification No. 23/2025 – Central Tax (Rate), dated 19 September 2025. Ministry of Finance, Government of India. https://cbic.gov.in

[4] Chandra, A., & Roy, S. (2022). GST and food consumption expenditure: Gender-disaggregated welfare analysis for rural India. Indian Economic Review, 57(2), 341–368. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41775-022-00134-x

[5] Dohmwirth, C. (2014). The impact of dairy cooperatives on the economic empowerment of rural women in Karnataka [Doctoral dissertation, Humboldt University Berlin]. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin.

[6] Farnworth, C. R., Bharati, P., & Galiè, A. (2023). Empowering women, challenging caste? The experience of a dairy cooperative in India. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7, Article 1114405. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1114405

[7] Fisher, R. A. (1925). Statistical methods for research workers. Oliver & Boyd.

[8] Goodreturns. (2025, September 13). New GST rates from September 22: Will milk prices come down? What changes under GST 2.0. https://www.goodreturns.in

[9] ICRA. (2024). Operating income of Karnataka Milk Federation from FY2020 to FY2024. Statista. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1330464/kmf-operating-income/

[10] IJRTI. (2025). GST and the dairy industry: A comprehensive analysis. International Journal of Research Trends and Innovation, 10(12), 1–9. https://ijrti.org

[11] Jain, A., & Jain, R. (2020). Impact of goods and services tax on Indian agriculture: A systematic review. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, 10(4), 557–575. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-07-2019-0098

[12] Karnataka Cooperative Milk Producers’ Federation Limited [KMF]. (2024). Annual report 2023–24. KMF, Bengaluru. https://kmfnandini.coop

[13] Karnataka Economic Survey. (2023). Planning, Programme Monitoring and Statistics Department, Government of Karnataka, Bengaluru.

[14] Kumar, R., & Sharma, P. (2019). Goods and services tax implications for the dairy sector in India. Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, 31(3), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajaees/2019/v31i330136

[15] Ministry of Animal Husbandry, Dairying & Fisheries [MAHDF]. (2025, September 4). GST rationalization boosts dairy sector [Press release]. Press Information Bureau. https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2163730

[16] Nair, G., & Krishnamurthy, N. (2021). Cooperative dairy pricing and GST: Evidence from South India. South Asian Journal of Management, 28(1), 62–84.

[17] NABARD. (2023). NABARD All India Rural Financial Inclusion Survey 2021–22 (NAFIS). National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development. https://www.nabard.org

[18] National Statistical Office [NSO]. (2024). Household Consumption Expenditure Survey 2022–23. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India. https://mospi.gov.in

[19] Niketha, M., Rajasekhar, D., & Suchitra, J. Y. (2017). Women’s assets, autonomy and cooperative membership: Evidence from Karnataka dairy sector. Review of Development and Change, 22(1), 79–101.

[20] Parajuli, R. (2023). Dairy cooperatives and women’s empowerment in South Asia: A pathway analysis. Journal of Rural Studies, 98, 156–168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2023.02.012

[21] Rao, C. H. H., & Nagaraja, N. (2022). Goods and services tax and cooperative dairy enterprises: Compliance burden and competitiveness. Agricultural Economics Research Review, 35(1), 47–62.

[22] Stotsky, J. G. (2016). Gender budgeting: Fiscal context and current outcomes (IMF Working Paper WP/16/149). International Monetary Fund.

How to cite this paper

Husen Bhasha, Dr. Panduranga R "Assessing the Impact of GST 2.0 on the Dairy Sector and Women’s Empowerment in Karnataka: A Secondary Data Analysis" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 9 Issue 12 2026 Page 2514-2524 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I12-1719122
Husen Bhasha, Dr. Panduranga R "Assessing the Impact of GST 2.0 on the Dairy Sector and Women’s Empowerment in Karnataka: A Secondary Data Analysis" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 12, Jun. 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I12-1719122
Husen Bhasha, Dr. Panduranga R (2026). Assessing the Impact of GST 2.0 on the Dairy Sector and Women’s Empowerment in Karnataka: A Secondary Data Analysis. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 9(12). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I12-1719122
Husen Bhasha, Dr. Panduranga R "Assessing the Impact of GST 2.0 on the Dairy Sector and Women’s Empowerment in Karnataka: A Secondary Data Analysis" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 12, Jun. 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I12-1719122
@article{1719122,
      author = {Husen Bhasha, Dr. Panduranga R},
      title = {Assessing the Impact of GST 2.0 on the Dairy Sector and Women’s Empowerment in Karnataka: A Secondary Data Analysis},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2026},
      volume = {9},
      number = {12},
      pages = {2514-2524},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1719122.pdf},
      abstract = {The 56th GST Council of India, in its landmark September 2025 meeting, approved sweeping tax rationalisations collectively referred to as GST 2.0, bringing most dairy products under a nil or 5% rate structure. This study critically evaluates the structural and gender-specific impact of this reform on Karnataka’s dairy sector through secondary data analysis. Karnataka, which recorded India’s highest milk production growth rate of 8.76% in 2022-23 and hosts 4,734 Women’s Dairy Cooperative Societies (DCS) under the Karnataka Milk Federation (KMF), represents a uniquely significant context for this inquiry. Secondary data are synthesised from KMF Annual Reports, the Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying and Fisheries (DAHD), NABARD field surveys, the National Statistical Office’s Household Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES 2022–23), and related governmental sources covering the period 2017-18 to 2024-25. Quantitative analyses encompassing Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) computation, bivariate OLS regression, and Pearson product-moment correlation are applied to examine linkages between Women’s DCS growth, income trajectories, financial inclusion, and cooperative governance indicators. Results reveal that GST 2.0 is projected to generate cumulative household savings of ₹17,800 per annum. Secondary panel regressions confirm a highly significant positive relationship between Women’s DCS count and average annual income (R² = 0.989) and between income and the Financial Inclusion Index (R² = 0.994). Pearson correlations across all cooperative performance and empowerment indicators are uniformly high (r = 0.990–0.999, p < 0.01), confirming a coherent, mutually reinforcing system of dairy development and women’s economic agency in Karnataka.},
      keywords = {GST 2.0, Dairy Sector Karnataka, Women’s Empowerment, Karnataka Milk Federation (KMF), Tax Rationalisation, Dairy Cooperatives, Women’s DCS, Financial Inclusion, Ksheera Sanjeevini, CAGR Analysis},
      month = {June},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I12-1719122}
  }