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Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries
Subject area: Arts, Social Sciences and Humanities · Area of research: Climate Change
DOI: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068
Abstract
This study assesses short- and long-run impacts of climate change on household consumption in selected Sub Saharan African countries (1991–2024) using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, with Mean Group and Pooled Mean Group estimators to account for cross country heterogeneity. Cointegration is found for most countries (except Ethiopia), and a negative, significant error correction term indicates adjustment toward the long run equilibrium. Higher CO₂ emissions significantly reduce household consumption, while rising temperatures prompt defensive spending (e.g., subsistence and cooling). Short run effects are pronounced in Niger but weak or insignificant in Kenya, Nigeria, Malawi, South Africa, and Uganda. Policy recommendations include adaptive social protection, climate smart agriculture, rural/peri urban solar mini grids, and strengthened early warning systems to enhance household resilience.
Keywords
Climate Shocks, Consumption, Sub-Saharan Africa
How to cite this paper
@article{1720068,
author = {Ogwuche, D.D., Aiyedogbon, J. O, Tule, J.M},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries},
journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
year = {2026},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {2639-2651},
issn = {2456-8880},
url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1720068.pdf},
abstract = {This study assesses short- and long-run impacts of climate change on household consumption in selected Sub Saharan African countries (1991–2024) using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, with Mean Group and Pooled Mean Group estimators to account for cross country heterogeneity. Cointegration is found for most countries (except Ethiopia), and a negative, significant error correction term indicates adjustment toward the long run equilibrium. Higher CO₂ emissions significantly reduce household consumption, while rising temperatures prompt defensive spending (e.g., subsistence and cooling). Short run effects are pronounced in Niger but weak or insignificant in Kenya, Nigeria, Malawi, South Africa, and Uganda. Policy recommendations include adaptive social protection, climate smart agriculture, rural/peri urban solar mini grids, and strengthened early warning systems to enhance household resilience.},
keywords = {Climate Shocks, Consumption, Sub-Saharan Africa},
month = {July},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068}
}