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Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries

Ogwuche, D.D. Aiyedogbon, J. O Tule, J.M

Subject area: Arts, Social Sciences and Humanities  ·  Area of research: Climate Change

DOI: 10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068

Abstract

This study assesses short- and long-run impacts of climate change on household consumption in selected Sub Saharan African countries (1991–2024) using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, with Mean Group and Pooled Mean Group estimators to account for cross country heterogeneity. Cointegration is found for most countries (except Ethiopia), and a negative, significant error correction term indicates adjustment toward the long run equilibrium. Higher CO₂ emissions significantly reduce household consumption, while rising temperatures prompt defensive spending (e.g., subsistence and cooling). Short run effects are pronounced in Niger but weak or insignificant in Kenya, Nigeria, Malawi, South Africa, and Uganda. Policy recommendations include adaptive social protection, climate smart agriculture, rural/peri urban solar mini grids, and strengthened early warning systems to enhance household resilience.

Keywords

Climate Shocks, Consumption, Sub-Saharan Africa

References

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How to cite this paper

Ogwuche, D.D., Aiyedogbon, J. O, Tule, J.M "Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 10 Issue 1 2026 Page 2639-2651 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068
Ogwuche, D.D., Aiyedogbon, J. O, Tule, J.M "Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 10, no. 1, Jul. 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068
Ogwuche, D.D., Aiyedogbon, J. O, Tule, J.M (2026). Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 10(1). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068
Ogwuche, D.D., Aiyedogbon, J. O, Tule, J.M "Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 10, no. 1, Jul. 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068
@article{1720068,
      author = {Ogwuche, D.D.,  Aiyedogbon, J. O, Tule, J.M},
      title = {Impact of Climate Change on Household consumption in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Countries},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2026},
      volume = {10},
      number = {1},
      pages = {2639-2651},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1720068.pdf},
      abstract = {This study assesses short- and long-run impacts of climate change on household consumption in selected Sub Saharan African countries (1991–2024) using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, with Mean Group and Pooled Mean Group estimators to account for cross country heterogeneity. Cointegration is found for most countries (except Ethiopia), and a negative, significant error correction term indicates adjustment toward the long run equilibrium. Higher CO₂ emissions significantly reduce household consumption, while rising temperatures prompt defensive spending (e.g., subsistence and cooling). Short run effects are pronounced in Niger but weak or insignificant in Kenya, Nigeria, Malawi, South Africa, and Uganda. Policy recommendations include adaptive social protection, climate smart agriculture, rural/peri urban solar mini grids, and strengthened early warning systems to enhance household resilience.},
      keywords = {Climate Shocks, Consumption, Sub-Saharan Africa},
      month = {July},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I1-1720068}
  }