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Space Technology as a Tool for Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention in Nigeria: Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Implications

Chedochukwu I. Ugochukwu Safiya L. Hassan Oluwatosin Adeniyi Annabel N. Ani Helen C. Obiekezie

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Space Technology

DOI: 10.64388/IREV10I3-1722831

Abstract

Nigeria's security problems are rarely confined to one place, one cause, or one institution. Insurgency, banditry, farmer–herder violence, communal disputes, kidnapping, illegal resource extraction, climate-related displacement and election-related violence are shaped by a mixture of political, economic, environmental and social conditions. Many of these pressures are particularly difficult to monitor because they develop across large rural spaces, border areas and communities where reliable, timely information is limited. Space technology offers a way of improving that information base. Earth observation, satellite communications, global navigation satellite systems, satellite meteorology and geospatial analysis can help public institutions identify changes, assess vulnerability, maintain communication, plan humanitarian access and monitor conditions that may precede or accompany violence. This article develops the Space Technology–Peacebuilding Nexus (STPN) Model as a framework for explaining how space-derived information can contribute to prevention without turning technology itself into the supposed solution to conflict. The model is built around five linked stages: risk sensing, contextual interpretation, preventive decision, peacebuilding response, and accountability and learning. It draws on human security, conflict-transformation and systems perspectives to argue that the value of space technology depends on what happens between the production of information and the response to it. Using qualitative doctrinal and integrative literature-review methods, the article examines Nigerian space-policy institutions, relevant legislation, early-warning arrangements and scholarship on remote sensing and conflict monitoring. The analysis finds that Nigeria already has important building blocks, including the National Space Research and Development Agency (NASRDA), Earth-observation experience, satellite communications capabilities, the Defence Space Administration and emerging national and regional early-warning structures. At the same time, fragmented institutional mandates, financing and skills gaps, weak civil–security coordination, data-quality problems, privacy concerns and the risk of excessive surveillance can prevent space-derived information from producing peaceful outcomes. The article argues for a civilian-led geospatial peace and early-warning architecture that combines satellite evidence with community knowledge and established conflict-prevention mechanisms. It recommends stronger data governance, clear response protocols, investment in analytical and subnational capacity, responsible civilian–security coordination, and pilot testing of the STPN Model in different Nigerian conflict settings. The central argument is straightforward: satellites can help Nigeria see risks earlier, but seeing a risk is not the same as preventing violence. Prevention occurs when reliable information is interpreted in context and translated into timely, proportionate and accountable action.

Keywords

Nigeria; space technology; peacebuilding; conflict prevention; early warning; remote sensing; satellite imagery; geospatial intelligence.

References

[1] African Union. (2016). African Space Policy and Strategy. African Union.

[2] Avtar, R., Kouser, A., Kumar, A., Singh, D., Misra, P., Gupta, A., Yunus, A. P., Kumar, P., Johnson, B. A., Dasgupta, R., Sahu, N., & Rimba, A. B. (2021). Remote sensing for international peace and security: Its role and implications. Remote Sensing, 13(3), Article 439. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13030439

[3] Economic Community of West African States. (2008). ECOWAS conflict prevention framework. https://au.int/sites/default/files/documents/39184-doc-140._the_ecowas_conflict_prevention_framework.pdf

[4] Faiyetole, A. A., & Abiodun, W. O. (2026). Conflict corridor modelling of herder-farmer clashes in Nigeria: Climate change and land use dynamics in nomadic pastoral zones. Rangeland Ecology & Management, 106, 93-107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rama.2026.01.005

[5] Federal Republic of Nigeria. (2010). National Space Research and Development Agency Act, 2010. https://spacereg.nasrda.gov.ng/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Authentic-NASRDA-Act.pdf

[6] Federal Republic of Nigeria. (2016). Defence Space Administration (Establishment) Act, 2016. https://placng.org/i/documents/defence-space-administration-establishment-act-2016/

[7] Goodman, S., BenYishay, A., & Runfola, D. (2024). Spatiotemporal prediction of conflict fatality risk using convolutional neural networks and satellite imagery. Remote Sensing, 16(18), Article 3411. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16183411

[8] National Space Research and Development Agency. (2001). National space policy and programmes. https://cms.spacesecurityportal.org/uploads/nigeriaspacepolicy_51a5efeafe.pdf

[9] National Space Research and Development Agency. (2026, February). Satellite technology essential for national security, Adepoju says. https://central.nasrda.gov.ng/satellite-technology-essential-for-national-security-adepoju/

[10] National Space Research and Development Agency. (n.d.-a). NigeriaSat-X. https://central.nasrda.gov.ng/space-missions/nigeriasat-x/

[11] National Space Research and Development Agency. (n.d.-b). Frequently asked questions: Space missions and institutional functions. https://central.nasrda.gov.ng/faq/

[12] National Space Research and Development Agency. (n.d.-c). Department of Strategic Space Applications. https://central.nasrda.gov.ng/departments/strategic-space-applications-department/

[13] National Space Research and Development Agency. (n.d.-d). Mandate. https://nasrda.gov.ng/mandate/

[14] Nigerian Office for Strategic Preparedness and Resilience. (n.d.). OSPRE Nigeria: National resilience coordination platform. https://osprenigeria.gov.ng/

[15] Von der Dunk, F. G. (2011). The second African national space law: The Nigerian NASRDA Act and the draft regulations on licensing and supervision. Journal of Space Law, 37(2), 321-356.

[16] West Africa Network for Peacebuilding Nigeria. (2021). Conflict prevention: Early warning/early response. https://wanepnigeria.org/early-warning-early-response/

How to cite this paper

Chedochukwu I. Ugochukwu, Safiya L. Hassan, Oluwatosin Adeniyi, Annabel N. Ani, Helen C. Obiekezie "Space Technology as a Tool for Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention in Nigeria: Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Implications" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 10 Issue 3 2026 Page 729-741 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I3-1722831
Chedochukwu I. Ugochukwu, Safiya L. Hassan, Oluwatosin Adeniyi, Annabel N. Ani, Helen C. Obiekezie "Space Technology as a Tool for Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention in Nigeria: Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Implications" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 10, no. 3, Sep. 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I3-1722831
Chedochukwu I. Ugochukwu, Safiya L. Hassan, Oluwatosin Adeniyi, Annabel N. Ani, Helen C. Obiekezie (2026). Space Technology as a Tool for Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention in Nigeria: Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Implications. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 10(3). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I3-1722831
Chedochukwu I. Ugochukwu, Safiya L. Hassan, Oluwatosin Adeniyi, Annabel N. Ani, Helen C. Obiekezie "Space Technology as a Tool for Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention in Nigeria: Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Implications" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 10, no. 3, Sep. 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I3-1722831
@article{1722831,
      author = {Chedochukwu I. Ugochukwu, Safiya L. Hassan, Oluwatosin Adeniyi, Annabel N. Ani, Helen C. Obiekezie},
      title = {Space Technology as a Tool for Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention in Nigeria: Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Implications},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2026},
      volume = {10},
      number = {3},
      pages = {729-741},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1722831.pdf},
      abstract = {Nigeria's security problems are rarely confined to one place, one cause, or one institution. Insurgency, banditry, farmer–herder violence, communal disputes, kidnapping, illegal resource extraction, climate-related displacement and election-related violence are shaped by a mixture of political, economic, environmental and social conditions. Many of these pressures are particularly difficult to monitor because they develop across large rural spaces, border areas and communities where reliable, timely information is limited. Space technology offers a way of improving that information base. Earth observation, satellite communications, global navigation satellite systems, satellite meteorology and geospatial analysis can help public institutions identify changes, assess vulnerability, maintain communication, plan humanitarian access and monitor conditions that may precede or accompany violence. This article develops the Space Technology–Peacebuilding Nexus (STPN) Model as a framework for explaining how space-derived information can contribute to prevention without turning technology itself into the supposed solution to conflict. The model is built around five linked stages: risk sensing, contextual interpretation, preventive decision, peacebuilding response, and accountability and learning. It draws on human security, conflict-transformation and systems perspectives to argue that the value of space technology depends on what happens between the production of information and the response to it. Using qualitative doctrinal and integrative literature-review methods, the article examines Nigerian space-policy institutions, relevant legislation, early-warning arrangements and scholarship on remote sensing and conflict monitoring. The analysis finds that Nigeria already has important building blocks, including the National Space Research and Development Agency (NASRDA), Earth-observation experience, satellite communications capabilities, the Defence Space Administration and emerging national and regional early-warning structures. At the same time, fragmented institutional mandates, financing and skills gaps, weak civil–security coordination, data-quality problems, privacy concerns and the risk of excessive surveillance can prevent space-derived information from producing peaceful outcomes. The article argues for a civilian-led geospatial peace and early-warning architecture that combines satellite evidence with community knowledge and established conflict-prevention mechanisms. It recommends stronger data governance, clear response protocols, investment in analytical and subnational capacity, responsible civilian–security coordination, and pilot testing of the STPN Model in different Nigerian conflict settings. The central argument is straightforward: satellites can help Nigeria see risks earlier, but seeing a risk is not the same as preventing violence. Prevention occurs when reliable information is interpreted in context and translated into timely, proportionate and accountable action.},
      keywords = {Nigeria; space technology; peacebuilding; conflict prevention; early warning; remote sensing; satellite imagery; geospatial intelligence.},
      month = {September},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I3-1722831}
  }