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1724135 Vol 10 · Issue 4 Download Paper

AI-Based MCA Student Performance Prediction and Personalized Learning System

Prof. Sarika Kore Gopal Solanki Aarti Tevar

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Artificial Intelligence

DOI: 10.64388/IREV10I4-1724135

Abstract

Early identification of academic difficulty is most useful when it leads to timely, relevant support. This paper proposes an integrated framework for students in the Master of Computer Applications (MCA) programme. The framework is designed to estimate end-of-semester performance from internal assessments, assignments, attendance, prior results and study behaviours; identify students who may need support; locate subject-level learning gaps; and present tailored study suggestions through a dashboard reviewed by instructors. The study has two components. Phase 1 reports descriptive findings from a questionnaire completed by 102 MCA students. Thirty-three respondents reported attendance below 75%, 40 reported studying no more than two hours per day outside college, and 78 of 101 respondents expressed interest in personalised study recommendations, particularly video lectures and practice questions. Exploratory Spearman analyses using previous-semester CGPA (97 usable records) found a weak positive association with internal assessment marks; this association remained below the Bonferroni-adjusted threshold. No clear association was observed for study hours, revision regularity or programming practice. Phase 2 is proposed, not completed: it specifies candidate machine-learning models, an evaluation plan and recommendation rules, but no model has been trained because final SGPA outcomes have not yet been collected.

Keywords

student performance prediction; educational data mining; personalized learning; learning recommendations; at-risk students; explainable artificial intelligence; MCA

References

[1] Zawacki-Richter O, Marín VI, Bond M, Gouverneur F. Systematic review of research on artificial intelligence applications in higher education – where are the educators? International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education. 2019;16:39. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-019-0171-0

[2] Albreiki B, Zaki N, Alashwal H. A systematic literature review of students’ performance prediction using machine learning techniques. Education Sciences. 2021;11(9):552. https://doi.org/10.3390/educsci11090552

[3] Maghsudi S, Lan A, Xu J, van der Schaar M. Personalized education in the artificial intelligence era: What to expect next. IEEE Signal Processing Magazine. 2021;38(3):37–50. https://doi.org/10.1109/MSP.2021.3055032

[4] Batool S, Rashid J, Nisar MW, Kim J, Kwon HY, Hussain A. Educational data mining to predict students’ academic performance: A survey study. Education and Information Technologies. 2023;28:905–971. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10639-022-11152-y

[5] Alyahyan AA, Düştegör D. Predicting academic success in higher education: Literature review and best practices. International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education. 2020;17:3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41239-020-0177-7

[6] Alamri R, Alharbi B. Explainable student performance prediction models: A systematic review. IEEE Access. 2021;9:33132–33143. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3061368

[7] Urdaneta-Ponte A, Méndez-Zorrilla A, Oleagordia-Ruíz I. Recommendation systems for education: Systematic review. Electronics. 2021;10(14):1611. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics10141611

How to cite this paper

Prof. Sarika Kore, Gopal Solanki, Aarti Tevar "AI-Based MCA Student Performance Prediction and Personalized Learning System" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 10 Issue 4 2026 Page 2815-2829 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I4-1724135
Prof. Sarika Kore, Gopal Solanki, Aarti Tevar "AI-Based MCA Student Performance Prediction and Personalized Learning System" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 10, no. 4, Oct. 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I4-1724135
Prof. Sarika Kore, Gopal Solanki, Aarti Tevar (2026). AI-Based MCA Student Performance Prediction and Personalized Learning System. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 10(4). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I4-1724135
Prof. Sarika Kore, Gopal Solanki, Aarti Tevar "AI-Based MCA Student Performance Prediction and Personalized Learning System" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 10, no. 4, Oct. 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I4-1724135
@article{1724135,
      author = {Prof. Sarika Kore, Gopal Solanki, Aarti Tevar},
      title = {AI-Based MCA Student Performance Prediction and Personalized Learning System},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2026},
      volume = {10},
      number = {4},
      pages = {2815-2829},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1724135.pdf},
      abstract = {Early identification of academic difficulty is most useful when it leads to timely, relevant support. This paper proposes an integrated framework for students in the Master of Computer Applications (MCA) programme. The framework is designed to estimate end-of-semester performance from internal assessments, assignments, attendance, prior results and study behaviours; identify students who may need support; locate subject-level learning gaps; and present tailored study suggestions through a dashboard reviewed by instructors. The study has two components. Phase 1 reports descriptive findings from a questionnaire completed by 102 MCA students. Thirty-three respondents reported attendance below 75%, 40 reported studying no more than two hours per day outside college, and 78 of 101 respondents expressed interest in personalised study recommendations, particularly video lectures and practice questions. Exploratory Spearman analyses using previous-semester CGPA (97 usable records) found a weak positive association with internal assessment marks; this association remained below the Bonferroni-adjusted threshold. No clear association was observed for study hours, revision regularity or programming practice. Phase 2 is proposed, not completed: it specifies candidate machine-learning models, an evaluation plan and recommendation rules, but no model has been trained because final SGPA outcomes have not yet been collected.},
      keywords = {student performance prediction; educational data mining; personalized learning; learning recommendations; at-risk students; explainable artificial intelligence; MCA},
      month = {October},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV10I4-1724135}
  }