International Peer-Reviewed JournalOpen AccessISSN 2456-8880
irejournals@gmail.com+91-7433024337

Home / Current Issue / Paper 1704069

1704069 Vol 6 · Issue 8 Download Paper

Instagram User Popularity Predictor

Ravi Gusain Saksham Pathak

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Machine Learning

Abstract

Instagram is photo and video sharing platform having a huge influence on the reach of a person or a brand worldwide. Popularity prediction is advantageous for influencers as well as organisations that make revenue through advertising or product placements. The main aim of this study is to find out the relationship between the popularity of an Instagram post with the image content posted and it?s metadata like time, day, number of hashtags, number of comments, etc. This research was conducted using data scraped from various active Instagram accounts and applying regression models to gather relevant metrics to predict the likelihood of the user?s posts being well received. Two regression techniques were tested. The Linear Regression model successfully predicted the number of likes with an MSE of 953.76, whereas the XGB Regression model had a MSE of 2876.17. Rather than viewing just the follower count for the prediction, the post?s metadata was also a major contributor.

References

[1] Business of Apps Analysis, https://www.businessofapps.com/data/instagram-statistics/ Acessed on 8 October 2022

[2] https://towardsdatascience.com/predict-the-number-of-likes-on-instagram-a7ec5c020203; Accessed on 24 October, 2022

[3] Joel CanteroPriego “Predicting the number of likes on Instagram with TensorFlow”, UNIVERSITAT POLITÈCNICA DE CATALUNYA (UPC) BarcelonaTech, October 26, 2020

[4] Crystal J. Qian, Jonathan D. Tang, Matthew A. Penza, Christopher M. Ferri “Instagram Popularity Prediction via Neural Networks and Regression Analysis”

[5] KristoRadionPurba, David Asirvatham, and Raja Kumar Murugesan “Instagram Post Popularity Trend Analysis and Prediction using Hashtag, Image Assessment, and User History Features”, School of Computer Science and Engineering, Taylor's University, Malaysia, 1, January 2021

[6] KristoRadionPurba, David Asirvatham, Raja Kumar Murugesan, “Analysis and Prediction of Instagram Users Popularity using Regression Techniques based on Metadata, Media and Hashtags Analysis”, 28 March 2020.

[7] Salvatore Carta , Alessandro Sebastian Podda * , Diego ReforgiatoRecupero , Roberto Saia and Giovanni Usai, “Popularity Prediction of Instagram Posts”, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Cagliari, 09124 Cagliari, Italy; 18 September 2020

[8] Yu-Yun Liao, “Leveraging Hashtag Networks for Multimodal Popularity Prediction of Instagram Posts”, Graduate Institute of Linguistics National Taiwan University; 20-25 June 2022

[9] Massimiliano Viola , Luca Brunelli , and Gian Antonio Susto, “Instagram Images and Videos Popularity Prediction: a Deep Learning-Based Approach”, Universit`adegliStudi di Padova, Padova, IT

[10] Heepsy, https://www.heepsy.com/; Accessed on 24 October, 2022

[11] Hyper Auditor, https://hypeauditor.com/; Accessed on 24 October, 2022

[12] Coobis, https://coobis.com/en/; Accessed on 24 October, 2022

[13] Qoruz, https://qoruz.com/find-influencers/top-100-instagram-influencers-india

[14] Open Source Library, https://github.com/idealo/image-quality-assessment

[15] Talebi H. and Milanfar P., “Nima: Neural Image Assessment,” IEEE Transactions on Image Processing, vol. 27, no. 8, pp. 3998-4011, 2018.

[16] Open Source Library, https://github.com/datarobot/pic2vec; Accessed on 24 October, 2022

[17] Casella, Georges (2002). Statistical inference (Second ed.). Pacific Grove, Calif.: Duxbury/Thomson Learning. p. 556. ISBN 9788131503942.

How to cite this paper

Ravi Gusain, Saksham Pathak "Instagram User Popularity Predictor" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 6 Issue 8 2023 Page 22-26
Ravi Gusain, Saksham Pathak "Instagram User Popularity Predictor" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 6, no. 8, Feb. 2023
Ravi Gusain, Saksham Pathak (2023). Instagram User Popularity Predictor. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 6(8).
Ravi Gusain, Saksham Pathak "Instagram User Popularity Predictor" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 6, no. 8, Feb. 2023.
@article{1704069,
      author = {Ravi Gusain, Saksham Pathak},
      title = {Instagram User Popularity Predictor},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2023},
      volume = {6},
      number = {8},
      pages = {22-26},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1704069.pdf},
      abstract = {Instagram is photo and video sharing platform having a huge influence on the reach of a person or a brand worldwide. Popularity prediction is advantageous for influencers as well as organisations that make revenue through advertising or product placements. The main aim of this study is to find out the relationship between the popularity of an Instagram post with the image content posted and it?s metadata like time, day, number of hashtags, number of comments, etc. This research was conducted using data scraped from various active Instagram accounts and applying regression models to gather relevant metrics to predict the likelihood of the user?s posts being well received. Two regression techniques were tested. The Linear Regression model successfully predicted the number of likes with an MSE of 953.76, whereas the XGB Regression model had a MSE of 2876.17. Rather than viewing just the follower count for the prediction, the post?s metadata was also a major contributor.},
      month = {February},
  }