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Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Residential Property Investment In Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria

Victor Nnamdi Ekwebelem FIDELIS I. EMOH

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE

Abstract

To ensure that the market is properly positioned, an assessment of the forces that drives the value chain is paramount. The study is geared towards examining the effects of macroeconomic variables on residential property investment performance in Abuja metropolis, Nigeria by assessing the risk- return performance of the investment; examining the trend in macroeconomic variables; establishing linkages between macroeconomic factors; and examining the effect of macroeconomic factors on residential investment performance. Both primary and secondary sources of data were utilized. The study analysed 722 rent and sale transactions sourced primarily from Registered Estate Firms to determine the sales and rents returns, and data on macroeconomic factors were collected secondarily from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for the study period (2001-2015). Results showed that base on risk-return performance analysis of Gwarimpamarket; is considered the most performed market with stable and steady return having the least unit of risk at 35% and 43% with comparable average return at 11.05 and 12.5% for 3B/R and 4B/R respectively. The macroeconomic variables which included: the Annual Growth rate in Real GDP over the period of study falls within 2.35-8.38%, with lowest and highest real GDP observed in 2015 and 2010 respectively, the Annual Interest rate falls within 11.0-25.01%, it was observed that there was a continuous fall in interest rate from 2003 to 2008. The also result suggested that between 18.2%-83.6% and 16.2%-79% variations in three bedroom and four bedroom returns across the nine residential markets out of the twelve were significant influenced by macroeconomic indicators while three markets were not significantly influenced. The study therefore conclude that macroeconomic policy has significant effect in Abuja residential market performance in nine markets though the remaining three markets were insignificant to influence the performance.

Keywords

Macroeconomic variables, residential property, market performance, total returns

References

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How to cite this paper

Victor Nnamdi Ekwebelem, FIDELIS I. EMOH "Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Residential Property Investment In Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 3 Issue 7 2020 Page 170-180
Victor Nnamdi Ekwebelem, FIDELIS I. EMOH "Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Residential Property Investment In Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 3, no. 7, Jan. 2020
Victor Nnamdi Ekwebelem, FIDELIS I. EMOH (2020). Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Residential Property Investment In Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 3(7).
Victor Nnamdi Ekwebelem, FIDELIS I. EMOH "Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Residential Property Investment In Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 3, no. 7, Jan. 2020.
@article{1701896,
      author = {Victor Nnamdi Ekwebelem, FIDELIS I. EMOH},
      title = {Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Residential Property Investment In Abuja Metropolis, Nigeria},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2020},
      volume = {3},
      number = {7},
      pages = {170-180},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/17018961.pdf},
      abstract = {To ensure that the market is properly positioned, an assessment of the forces that drives the value chain is paramount. The study is geared towards examining the effects of macroeconomic variables on residential property investment performance in Abuja metropolis, Nigeria by assessing the risk- return performance of the investment; examining the trend in macroeconomic variables; establishing linkages between macroeconomic factors; and examining the effect of macroeconomic factors on residential investment performance.  Both primary and secondary sources of data were utilized. The study analysed 722 rent and sale transactions sourced primarily from Registered Estate Firms to determine the sales and rents returns, and data on macroeconomic factors were collected secondarily from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for the study period (2001-2015). Results showed that base on risk-return performance analysis of Gwarimpamarket; is considered the most performed market with stable and steady return having the least unit of risk at 35% and 43% with comparable average return at 11.05 and 12.5% for 3B/R and 4B/R respectively. The macroeconomic variables which included: the Annual Growth rate in Real GDP over the period of study falls within 2.35-8.38%, with lowest and highest real GDP observed in 2015 and 2010 respectively, the Annual Interest rate falls within 11.0-25.01%, it was observed that there was a continuous fall in interest rate from 2003 to 2008. The also result suggested that between 18.2%-83.6% and 16.2%-79% variations in three bedroom and four bedroom returns across the nine residential markets out of the twelve were significant influenced by macroeconomic indicators while three markets were not significantly influenced. The study therefore conclude that macroeconomic policy has significant effect in Abuja residential market performance in nine markets though the remaining three markets were insignificant to influence the performance.},
      keywords = {Macroeconomic variables, residential property, market performance, total returns},
      month = {January},
  }