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Quota Compliance in The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as a Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma: The Role of Trigger Strategies and Discount Factors
Subject area: Management and Commerce · Area of research: Economics Game Theory
Abstract
This paper examines quota adherence among the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) using the lens of repeated game theory, particularly the repeated prisoner's dilemma. OPEC's collective efforts to manage oil production face challenges as individual members have incentives to defect for short-term gains. This study analyzes how trigger strategies and discount factors influence compliance behavior. It finds that credible punishment mechanisms and sufficiently high discount factors are key to sustaining cooperation. Both theoretical insights and empirical observations are integrated to assess the strategic behavior of OPEC member states.
Keywords
Collusion, Discount factor, Game theory, OPEC, Quota compliance, Repeated games, Trigger strategies.
How to cite this paper
@article{1708703,
author = {Geoffrey Nyasimi, Dr. Yasin Kuso Ghabon},
title = {Quota Compliance in The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as a Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma: The Role of Trigger Strategies and Discount Factors},
journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
year = {2025},
volume = {8},
number = {11},
pages = {1644-1649},
issn = {2456-8880},
url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1708703.pdf},
abstract = {This paper examines quota adherence among the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) using the lens of repeated game theory, particularly the repeated prisoner's dilemma. OPEC's collective efforts to manage oil production face challenges as individual members have incentives to defect for short-term gains. This study analyzes how trigger strategies and discount factors influence compliance behavior. It finds that credible punishment mechanisms and sufficiently high discount factors are key to sustaining cooperation. Both theoretical insights and empirical observations are integrated to assess the strategic behavior of OPEC member states.},
keywords = {Collusion, Discount factor, Game theory, OPEC, Quota compliance, Repeated games, Trigger strategies.},
month = {May},
}