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1711239 Vol 9 · Issue 4 Download Paper

A Study on the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors on Mutual Fund NAVs

SK Mujahid Hossain

Subject area: Management and Commerce  ·  Area of research: Bengaluru

DOI: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I4-1711239-6356

Abstract

This study explores how key macroeconomic indicators affect the Net Asset Values (NAVs) of mutual funds in India while incorporating behavioral finance perspectives. Using regression, correlation, and Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), the research examines the impact of GDP, inflation, and the repo rate across different categories of mutual funds. The findings support that repo rate has a significant and positive relationship with NAVs, while inflation has a negative impact, and GDP shows a weak and positive impact. In addition, investor sentiment serves as a mediating variable, illustrating that psychological reactions can amplify or dampen macroeconomic impacts on fund performance. The incorporation of behaviorial and econometric strategies presents a more valid picture of mutual fund behavior. Overall, the research emphasizes how economic fundamentals as well as investor psychology together influence mutual fund performance in India's changing financial environment.

Keywords

Macroeconomic Factors, Mutual Fund NAVs, Investor Sentiment, Regression, PLS-SEM

References

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[10] Kulshreshtha, P., Swarup, S.K. and Saxena, S.P. (2022) ‘An Empirical Study to Trace the Impact of Macro-Economic Variables and Information Asymmetry on the AUM of Indian Mutual Funds – A Vecm and E-GARCH Model Approach’, Research & Reviews: Journal of Social Sciences, 10(1), pp. 10–20. doi:10.4172/JSS.10.1.002.

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How to cite this paper

SK Mujahid Hossain "A Study on the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors on Mutual Fund NAVs" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 9 Issue 4 2025 Page 519-526 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I4-1711239-6356
SK Mujahid Hossain "A Study on the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors on Mutual Fund NAVs" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 4, Oct. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I4-1711239-6356
SK Mujahid Hossain (2025). A Study on the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors on Mutual Fund NAVs. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 9(4). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I4-1711239-6356
SK Mujahid Hossain "A Study on the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors on Mutual Fund NAVs" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 4, Oct. 2025. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I4-1711239-6356
@article{1711239,
      author = {SK Mujahid Hossain},
      title = {A Study on the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors on Mutual Fund NAVs},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2025},
      volume = {9},
      number = {4},
      pages = {519-526},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1711239.pdf},
      abstract = {This study explores how key macroeconomic indicators affect the Net Asset Values (NAVs) of mutual funds in India while incorporating behavioral finance perspectives. Using regression, correlation, and Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), the research examines the impact of GDP, inflation, and the repo rate across different categories of mutual funds. The findings support that repo rate has a significant and positive relationship with NAVs, while inflation has a negative impact, and GDP shows a weak and positive impact. In addition, investor sentiment serves as a mediating variable, illustrating that psychological reactions can amplify or dampen macroeconomic impacts on fund performance. The incorporation of behaviorial and econometric strategies presents a more valid picture of mutual fund behavior. Overall, the research emphasizes how economic fundamentals as well as investor psychology together influence mutual fund performance in India's changing financial environment.},
      keywords = {Macroeconomic Factors, Mutual Fund NAVs, Investor Sentiment, Regression, PLS-SEM},
      month = {October},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I4-1711239-6356}
  }