Intent-Based Planning Engine (IBPE): A Closed-Loop Adaptive Framework for Resilient and Cost-Aware Infrastructure Systems
Abstract
Static infrastructure planning models fail predictably: they are calibrated on the past and are therefore least accurate precisely when conditions change most rapidly. The problem is not merely one of forecast precision, but of architectural rigidity; these systems have no mechanism for updating their assumptions in response to the very outcomes they predict. This paper introduces the Intent-Based Planning Engine (IBPE), a closed-loop, AI-driven framework for adaptive infrastructure demand forecasting that draws its conceptual architecture from two converging technical traditions: intent-based networking and chaos engineering. IBPE integrates multivariate regression, ARIMA time-series modeling, unsupervised behavioral segmentation, structured scenario perturbation, and gradient-based feedback adaptation within a single modular system. The framework's most architecturally distinctive element is an intent modeling layer that disaggregates aggregate demand into behaviorally coherent population segments, each characterized by its own elasticity profile and sensitivity to macroeconomic perturbation. The feedback adaptation mechanism is formally derived from the chaos-level engine paradigm developed in U.S. Patent No. 12,242,370 B2 (Cisco Technology, Inc., 2025), in which controlled perturbation, impact measurement, and parameter correction form an iterative closed loop progressively narrowing the gap between intended and observed system behavior. Experimental evaluation across a 150-unit residential infrastructure simulation demonstrates a 14.2% reduction in mean absolute error over single-method baselines, a 23% improvement in supply-demand alignment through intent-based allocation, a 62.7% cumulative reduction in prediction error over ten feedback cycles, and scenario-driven risk mitigation that reduces supply overcommitment exposure by 31% under adverse macroeconomic conditions. These results establish IBPE as a technically rigorous, domain-portable framework for adaptive planning under uncertainty.
Keywords
Adaptive Infrastructure Planning; Intent-Based Systems; Chaos Engineering; ARIMA Forecasting; Demand Segmentation; Closed-Loop Feedback Control; Behavioral Clustering; Scenario Simulation; Constrained Optimization; Online Learning.
Citations
IRE Journals:
Sayali Patil "Intent-Based Planning Engine (IBPE): A Closed-Loop Adaptive Framework for Resilient and Cost-Aware Infrastructure Systems" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 9 Issue 9 2026 Page 2132-2151 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I9-1715343
IEEE:
Sayali Patil
"Intent-Based Planning Engine (IBPE): A Closed-Loop Adaptive Framework for Resilient and Cost-Aware Infrastructure Systems" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 9(9) https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I9-1715343
About IRE Journals
IRE Journals is an open access online journals established with an aim to publish high quality of research work in various diciplines. We have more than 6 years in publications. Over 2500+ papers already published.
Important Links
For Authors
Volume 8:
Issue 1, Issue 2, Issue 3, Issue 4, Issue 5, Issue 6, Issue 7, Issue 8, Issue 9, Issue 10, Issue 11, Issue 12Volume 7:
Issue 1, Issue 2, Issue 3, Issue 4, Issue 5, Issue 6, Issue 7, Issue 8, Issue 9, Issue 10, Issue 11, Issue 12Volume 6:
Issue 1, Issue 2, Issue 3, Issue 4, Issue 5, Issue 6, Issue 7, Issue 8, Issue 9, Issue 10, Issue 11, Issue 12Volume 5:
Issue 1, Issue 2, Issue 3, Issue 4, Issue 5, Issue 6, Issue 7, Issue 8, Issue 9, Issue 10, Issue 11, Issue 12Volume 4:
Issue 1, Issue 2, Issue 3, Issue 4, Issue 5, Issue 6, Issue 7, Issue 8, Issue 9, Issue 10, Issue 11, Issue 12Volume 3:
Issue 1, Issue 2, Issue 3, Issue 4, Issue 5, Issue 6, Issue 7, Issue 8, Issue 9, Issue 10, Issue 11, Issue 12