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Future Prospects of Solar Energy in Meeting’s Net-Zero and Vision 2030 Targets

Sulaman Rafiq

Subject area: Science,Engineering and Technology  ·  Area of research: Solar Engergy

DOI: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I10-1715856

Abstract

The energy transition in Saudi Arabia is driven by the dual energy imperatives of energy security and competitiveness, along with the achievement of quantified reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The Saudi Green Initiative is the framework for the energy transition in the country, with the objective of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions to zero by the year 2060, while achieving milestones in 2030, such as the development of renewable energy and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions [2,3]. On the other hand, the Ministry of Energy has established the development of renewable energy as part of the energy mix in 2030, along with the substitution of natural gas for oil-based energy carriers [4]. The energy transition in the kingdom, with solar energy playing a major part, is driven by the exceptionally high solar resource and the opportunities for deployment. However, the achievement of the milestones for the energy transition involves the development of renewable energy as part of the energy mix, which is affected by issues such as variability, curtailment risk, and increasing flexibility. In this review, literature and other sources on the future prospects of solar energy for achieving net zero and Vision 2030 targets have been synthesized. Following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines for conducting a transparent review process [1], this review integrates available information on three aspects: (i) the effectiveness of solar technology in desert climates, especially with regards to solar energy loss due to heat and soiling, and strategies for operation and maintenance to reduce these losses [11, 12]; (ii) strategies for the integration of solar energy systems, especially strategies for storage and demand management to reinforce the grid; and (iii) strategies for achieving targets, especially strategies for governance and market structures. This review synthesis draws on concepts borrowed from net zero grids, especially on decentralized coordination and the use of VPP aggregation to reduce curtailment and facilitate bi-directional participation in the energy system [15]. This synthesis leads to three conclusions: (a) Solar energy competitiveness in Saudi Arabia is no longer a ‘resource problem’ but one of execution and integration; (b) Solar energy generated can be termed as ‘valuable energy’ if ‘flexibility and digital coordination’ play a crucial role in executing this vision; and (c) Learning can play a crucial role in achieving targets more efficiently and at a reduced risk premium. This review proposes a roadmap for solar-led decarbonization, which meets the requirements set by Q1 journal for methodological and managerial relevance.

Keywords

Saudi Arabia; solar energy; photovoltaic; CSP; Vision 2030; net‑zero; Saudi Green Initiative; grid integration; energy storage; demand response; virtual power plant; desert soiling.

References

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[2] Saudi Green Initiative (SGI). Saudi global climate impact: Striving to achieve net zero in Saudi Arabia by 2060. SGI website. 2024. (Accessed 2025).

[3] Saudi Green Initiative (SGI). SGI targets: reducing carbon emissions (includes renewable capacity figures and pipeline). SGI website. 2024. (Accessed 2025).

[4] Ministry of Energy, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Renewable Energy Program (energy mix and program phases). Ministry website. 2024. (Accessed 2025).

[5] KAPSARC. Saudi Arabia Net Zero GHG Emissions by 2060: Transformation of the Electricity Sector (GCAM-KSA methodology and scenarios). KAPSARC publication. 2023.

[6] IPCC. Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report. 2023.

[7] International Energy Agency (IEA). Electricity Grids and Secure Energy Transitions. Special report. 2023.

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[9] National Debt Management Center (NDMC), Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Green Financing Framework (references net-zero ambition and NDC context). 2024.

[10] UNFCCC. Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: Updated First Nationally Determined Contribution (2021 submission to UNFCCC; published 2022). 2022.

[11] Al Garni HZ. The impact of soiling on photovoltaic module performance in Saudi Arabia: review and mitigation options. Energies. 2022;15(21):8033.

[12] Benyadry S, Halimi M, Khouya A. Soiling impact and cleaning techniques for optimizing photovoltaic and concentrated solar power production: A state-of-the-art review. Energy & Environment. 2024;35(3):1637–1669. doi:10.1177/0958305X241230624.

[13] Elbrashy AA, Abdelmonem, et al. Transition from manual to robotic cleaning for large-scale solar PV plants in desert environments. 2025.

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[29] IRENA. Flexibility in Power Systems: A Guide for Policy Makers. 2021.

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How to cite this paper

Sulaman Rafiq "Future Prospects of Solar Energy in Meeting’s Net-Zero and Vision 2030 Targets" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 9 Issue 10 2026 Page 840-850 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I10-1715856
Sulaman Rafiq "Future Prospects of Solar Energy in Meeting’s Net-Zero and Vision 2030 Targets" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 10, Apr. 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I10-1715856
Sulaman Rafiq (2026). Future Prospects of Solar Energy in Meeting’s Net-Zero and Vision 2030 Targets. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 9(10). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I10-1715856
Sulaman Rafiq "Future Prospects of Solar Energy in Meeting’s Net-Zero and Vision 2030 Targets" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 10, Apr. 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I10-1715856
@article{1715856,
      author = {Sulaman Rafiq},
      title = {Future Prospects of Solar Energy in Meeting’s Net-Zero and Vision 2030 Targets},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2026},
      volume = {9},
      number = {10},
      pages = {840-850},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1715856.pdf},
      abstract = {The energy transition in Saudi Arabia is driven by the dual energy imperatives of energy security and competitiveness, along with the achievement of quantified reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The Saudi Green Initiative is the framework for the energy transition in the country, with the objective of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions to zero by the year 2060, while achieving milestones in 2030, such as the development of renewable energy and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions [2,3]. On the other hand, the Ministry of Energy has established the development of renewable energy as part of the energy mix in 2030, along with the substitution of natural gas for oil-based energy carriers [4]. The energy transition in the kingdom, with solar energy playing a major part, is driven by the exceptionally high solar resource and the opportunities for deployment. However, the achievement of the milestones for the energy transition involves the development of renewable energy as part of the energy mix, which is affected by issues such as variability, curtailment risk, and increasing flexibility. In this review, literature and other sources on the future prospects of solar energy for achieving net zero and Vision 2030 targets have been synthesized. Following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines for conducting a transparent review process [1], this review integrates available information on three aspects: (i) the effectiveness of solar technology in desert climates, especially with regards to solar energy loss due to heat and soiling, and strategies for operation and maintenance to reduce these losses [11, 12]; (ii) strategies for the integration of solar energy systems, especially strategies for storage and demand management to reinforce the grid; and (iii) strategies for achieving targets, especially strategies for governance and market structures. This review synthesis draws on concepts borrowed from net zero grids, especially on decentralized coordination and the use of VPP aggregation to reduce curtailment and facilitate bi-directional participation in the energy system [15]. This synthesis leads to three conclusions: (a) Solar energy competitiveness in Saudi Arabia is no longer a ‘resource problem’ but one of execution and integration; (b) Solar energy generated can be termed as ‘valuable energy’ if ‘flexibility and digital coordination’ play a crucial role in executing this vision; and (c) Learning can play a crucial role in achieving targets more efficiently and at a reduced risk premium. This review proposes a roadmap for solar-led decarbonization, which meets the requirements set by Q1 journal for methodological and managerial relevance.},
      keywords = {Saudi Arabia; solar energy; photovoltaic; CSP; Vision 2030; net‑zero; Saudi Green Initiative; grid integration; energy storage; demand response; virtual power plant; desert soiling.},
      month = {April},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I10-1715856}
  }