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1717877 Vol 9 · Issue 11 Download Paper

Enhancing Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Historical Data and Machine Learning Techniques

Abhi Modi Dr. S. Balamurugan

Subject area: Agriculture and Veterinary Sciences  ·  Area of research: Machine Learning, Groundwater Forecasting

DOI: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1717877

Abstract

Groundwater is an essential source of fresh water which is used in agriculture, domestic consumption, and industries. Over-exploitation, climate changes, and population increase are reducing the level of groundwater in most areas. Proper ground water levels forecasting would be therefore critical in proper water management and sustainability. The latest researches have utilized machine and deep learning to forecast the groundwater level by making use of past hydrological and climatic records. Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Artificial Neural Networks, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithms have demonstrated promising outcomes in ground water on capturing complex trends in groundwater datasets. Others have also combined satellite data and environmental variables to enhance the accuracy of prediction. Nonetheless, a number of current studies are area-specific, use smaller datasets, or models of individual machine learning. This complicates the situation of establishing the most effective methods of forecasting groundwater over time under comparable circumstances. In order to solve such a problem, the paper offers a machine learning-based model of improving groundwater level predictions on the basis of historical groundwater and environmental data. The approach will involve processing of data, selection of features, and applying various machine learning models to compare them. The standard evaluation metrics to be used in evaluating the performance of these models will be accuracy, RMSE, and R 2. It is hoped that, the anticipated value of this study would be identification of relevant machine learning methods to predict groundwater, and offer a systematized framework that could be used to provide a sustainable groundwater management and further research in hydrology.

Keywords

Groundwater Level Prediction, Machine Learning, Time-Series Forecasting, Hydrological Data Analysis, Random Forest, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Water Resource Management.

References

[1] A. Sreekumar, A. Singh, and N. Subbanna, “Spaceborne Reconstruction of Groundwater Level Using Deep Learning in North-West India,” IEEE India Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (InGARSS), 2024.

[2] V. Tiwari and M. Verma, “Prediction of Groundwater Level Using Advanced Machine Learning Techniques,” IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Technologies (CONIT), 2023.

[3] P. Wang, “Prediction of the Groundwater Levels Based on Random Forest Regression Algorithm,” IEEE International Conference on Information Technology, Big Data and Artificial Intelligence (ICIBA), 2024.

[4] Y. Li, H. Zhang, X. Wang, and J. Liu, “Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks and XGBoost,” Journal of Hydrology and Artificial Intelligence, 2023.

[5] S. Yu, X. Xu, L. Qiu, and Y. Yang, “Machine Learning-Based Algorithm for Predicting the Groundwater Level in Minqin Oasis Region of China,” International Conference on Hydraulic and Civil Engineering & Smart Water Conservancy, 2021.

[6] Z. Chen, Y. Sun, L. Wang, and H. Zhao, “Forecasting Underground Water Levels: LSTM Based Model Outperforms GRU and Decision Tree Models,” Journal of Water Resources and Artificial Intelligence, 2023.

[7] K. N. Sai, A. Galodha, P. Jain, and D. Sharma, “Deep and Machine Learning for Monitoring Groundwater Levels and Hydrological Changes Using GRACE and Sentinel-1,” Remote Sensing and Hydrology Research Journal, 2023.

[8] M. Nourani, M. Komasi, and A. Elkiran, “Application of Bayesian Regularized Neural Networks for Groundwater Level Modeling,” Hydrological Sciences Journal, 2019.

[9] A. Yadav, S. Mishra, and R. Kumar, “Forecasting Groundwater Level in Multiple Wells Using Machine Learning Models,” Journal of Hydrological Engineering, 2022.

[10] M. A. Arganaraz, J. A. Jobbagy, and M. Nosetto, “Integrating Satellite Data and Machine Learning to Predict Groundwater Fluctuations in the Western Pampean Plain,” IEEE Workshop on Information Processing and Control (RPIC), 2025.

[11] S. Shiri and R. Kisi, “Data-Driven Approach to Predict Ground Water Level Using Support Vector Regression,” Hydrology and Earth System Modeling Journal, 2020.

[12] E. Nghishooni and H. H. Hamandawana, “Application of Machine Learning Techniques in Forecasting Groundwater Levels in the Grootfontein Aquifer,” Journal of Environmental Hydrology, 2021.

[13] M. Ahmed, S. Baloch, and A. Raza, “Forecasting Groundwater Depletion in Quetta Sub-Basin Using Remote Sensing Data and Deep Learning Approach,” Journal of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering, 2023.

[14] H. Ghafoor, J. Muhammad, R. Umer, Z. Rauf, F. Ali, and P. Khan, “Predicting Groundwater Levels at Colorado State Using ARIMA and ANN Models,” IEEE Conference on Foundation and Large Language Models (FLLM), 2024.

[15] M. R. Mohammadi and H. Eslami, “Ground Water Level Prediction with Non-Continuous Unevenly Spaced Small Time Series Using Machine Learning,” Environmental Data Science and Hydrology Journal, 2022.

How to cite this paper

Abhi Modi, Dr. S. Balamurugan "Enhancing Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Historical Data and Machine Learning Techniques" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 9 Issue 11 2026 Page 2312-2321 https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1717877
Abhi Modi, Dr. S. Balamurugan "Enhancing Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Historical Data and Machine Learning Techniques" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 11, May. 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1717877
Abhi Modi, Dr. S. Balamurugan (2026). Enhancing Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Historical Data and Machine Learning Techniques. Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 9(11). doi: https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1717877
Abhi Modi, Dr. S. Balamurugan "Enhancing Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Historical Data and Machine Learning Techniques" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, vol. 9, no. 11, May. 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1717877
@article{1717877,
      author = {Abhi Modi, Dr. S. Balamurugan},
      title = {Enhancing Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Historical Data and Machine Learning Techniques},
      journal = {Iconic Research And Engineering Journals},
      year = {2026},
      volume = {9},
      number = {11},
      pages = {2312-2321},
      issn = {2456-8880},
      url = {https://www.irejournals.com/formatedpaper/1717877.pdf},
      abstract = {Groundwater is an essential source of fresh water which is used in agriculture, domestic consumption, and industries. Over-exploitation, climate changes, and population increase are reducing the level of groundwater in most areas. Proper ground water levels forecasting would be therefore critical in proper water management and sustainability. The latest researches have utilized machine and deep learning to forecast the groundwater level by making use of past hydrological and climatic records. Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Artificial Neural Networks, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithms have demonstrated promising outcomes in ground water on capturing complex trends in groundwater datasets. Others have also combined satellite data and environmental variables to enhance the accuracy of prediction. Nonetheless, a number of current studies are area-specific, use smaller datasets, or models of individual machine learning. This complicates the situation of establishing the most effective methods of forecasting groundwater over time under comparable circumstances. In order to solve such a problem, the paper offers a machine learning-based model of improving groundwater level predictions on the basis of historical groundwater and environmental data. The approach will involve processing of data, selection of features, and applying various machine learning models to compare them. The standard evaluation metrics to be used in evaluating the performance of these models will be accuracy, RMSE, and R 2. It is hoped that, the anticipated value of this study would be identification of relevant machine learning methods to predict groundwater, and offer a systematized framework that could be used to provide a sustainable groundwater management and further research in hydrology.},
      keywords = {Groundwater Level Prediction, Machine Learning, Time-Series Forecasting, Hydrological Data Analysis, Random Forest, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Water Resource Management.},
      month = {May},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.64388/IREV9I11-1717877}
  }